Market Trends

National Carrier Spot Rate YoY Market Trends

Regional Carrier Spot Rate Market Trends to 24H2 Baseline

Regional Carrier Spot Rate YoY Market Trends

May 2025

Takeaways

May 2025 vs 2024 H2 Rate Baselines:

  • VAN  +1.1%
  • REEFER  -0.6%
  • FLATBED   +14%

 

May 2025 vs April 2024:

  • VAN  +1.5%
  • REEFER  -0.6%
  • FLATBED  +8.0%

Outlook

Mildly better than April, May exhibiting persistent rate pressures on VAN and REEFER brokerage spot buy rates continue. The most notable high single digit reductions for VAN at -11.1% and -4.4% vs. 2024H2 baselines for North and Southwestern states.

 

Flatbed markets, however, exhibiting stronger seasonal trends show inflationary patterns for all US regions excluding Northwest states.

  • FTL Market Mixed WoW:
    • Van rates remain largely flat week-over-week but continue trending slightly below 2024 levels.
    • Reefer rates are holding steady, supported by seasonal produce demand.
    • Flatbed rates continue to rise, driven by robust construction and industrial sector demand.
  • Reefer demand is intensifying across key regions as harvests accelerate.
    • Miami & Lakeland, FL – High volumes of tomatoes, citrus, and watermelon.
    • South & Central CA – Continued strong shipments of lettuce, berries, and mixed vegetables.
    • Next Up: WA & OR expected to ramp up by mid-June with apples and cherries entering the market.
  • Cross-Border Trends:
    • Mexico: YoY freight volumes still remain strong (+13%) with limited available capacity.
    • Canada: Volumes stable, but softening signs continue; rates remain under slight downward pressure.

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